138
FZPN03 KNHC 162123
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU JUL 16 2026

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUL 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 15.8N 118.3W 995 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 16
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65
KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE
QUADRANT AND 110 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM
NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 6.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...
EXCEPT 240 NM NE QUADRANT AND 270 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 12N TO 20N BETWEEN
111W AND 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 17.1N 121.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN
130 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER
WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 8.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE
AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 09N TO 24N BETWEEN 112W AND 126W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 19.7N 123.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN
130 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80
NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE...AND
240 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 9.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 270 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 10N TO 27N BETWEEN 114W AND
132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 14N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.FROM 09.5N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 86W AND 91W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 86W AND 92W...INCLUDING
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC THU JUL 16...

.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM
OF CENTER. SIMILAR CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS NOTED FROM 13N TO 16N
BETWEEN 120W AND 122W. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS
ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 114W AND 122W.

.TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 102W...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
IS NEAR THE SOUTHERN END OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 04N TO 08N BETWEEN
95W AND 102W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 08N95W TO 12N110W, THEN
RESUMES SOUTHWEST OF ELIDA FROM 13N122W TO 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED NEAR 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 03N TO 06N E OF 95W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...
FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 90W AND 96W...AND FROM 07N TO 10N W OF 137W.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM
04N TO 08N BETWEEN 95W AND 102W...AND FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 102W
AND 108W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.