046
FZPN03 KNHC 022107
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI OCT 02 2026

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 04.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 19.3N 111.1W 963 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 02 MOVING
W OR 265 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM
SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 11 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 23N BETWEEN 106W AND 115W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 M FT. FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 107W AND 116W SW TO
W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 3.5 M IN W SWELL. REMAINDER OF THE
AREA FROM 10N TO 26N BETWEEN 102W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
2.5 TO 3 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 19.7N 112.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN
110 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER
WITHIN 210 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 10 M.
ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 107W AND 116W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 3 TO 4 M. FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 107W AND 114W SW TO W WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 3.5 M IN W SWELL. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM
10N TO 26N BETWEEN 102W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3
M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 20.2N 114.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN
100 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 110 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER
WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 210 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 10 M.
ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 24N BETWEEN 108W AND 118W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 3 TO 4 M. FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 108W AND 114W SW TO W WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 3.5 M IN W SWELL. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM
10N TO 26N BETWEEN 104W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3
M IN MIXED SWELL.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 01N BETWEEN 107W AND 117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0
M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC FRI OCT 2...

.HURRICANE RACHEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 90
NM OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N83W TO 15N96W...THEN RESUMES W OF
RACHEL NEAR 15N115W TO 15N130W TO BEYOND 07N140W. CLUSTERS OF
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE NOTED FROM 03N TO 06N E
OF 83W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS SEEN FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 86W AND 100W...
FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 110W AND 122W...AND FROM 00N TO 08N W OF
120W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.