758
FOPZ12 KNHC 270244
PWSEP2

HURRICANE POLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172026
0300 UTC SUN SEP 27 2026

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE POLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105
KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  19(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)
P ABREOJOS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
P ABREOJOS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

LORETO         34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  49(54)  18(72)   X(72)   X(72)
LORETO         50  X   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)  14(28)   X(28)   X(28)
LORETO         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

HERMOSILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)   X(13)   X(13)

GUAYMAS        34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)  38(48)   X(48)   X(48)
GUAYMAS        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   X(13)   X(13)
GUAYMAS        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   X(12)   X(12)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

20N 115W       34 37   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)

25N 115W       34  X   2( 2)  25(27)   2(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
25N 115W       50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
25N 115W       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY