024
FOPZ12 KNHC 100852
PWSEP2

TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172025
0900 UTC FRI OCT 10 2025

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   1( 1)  13(14)   9(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   1( 1)  11(12)   9(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)

LORETO         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34 14   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

MANZANILLO     34 30   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)

20N 110W       34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI