Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
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917
FOPZ12 KNHC 300231
PWSEP2

TROPICAL STORM LOWELL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122026
0300 UTC SUN AUG 30 2026

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LOWELL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 138.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

10N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

15N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  25(25)  13(38)   2(40)
15N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   8(14)   X(14)
15N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)

BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)

15N 155W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)  41(57)
15N 155W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  24(28)
15N 155W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  14(16)

18N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)

SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)

15N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

$$
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