521
FOPZ12 KNHC 300835
PWSEP2

TROPICAL STORM LOWELL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122026
0900 UTC SUN AUG 30 2026

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LOWELL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 139.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

15N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  31(31)   2(33)   1(34)
15N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   1(11)   X(11)
15N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)

15N 155W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  49(50)  21(71)
15N 155W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  21(21)  20(41)
15N 155W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  13(24)

18N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)

SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  29(31)
BUOY 51002     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)
BUOY 51002     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

15N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  29(29)
15N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)
15N 160W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

BUOY 51003     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS