305
FOPZ12 KNHC 251449
PWSEP2

HURRICANE POLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172026
1500 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE POLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1
NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 155
KTS...180 MPH...285 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

PUNTA EUGENIA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)

P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  15(23)   X(23)
P ABREOJOS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
P ABREOJOS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  11(18)   1(19)
LA PAZ         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

LORETO         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  50(61)   2(63)
LORETO         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  22(23)   1(24)
LORETO         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)

BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   1( 9)

GUAYMAS        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  24(25)   5(30)
GUAYMAS        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)
GUAYMAS        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   4(16)

LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)

20N 110W       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  2  74(76)   5(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X  17(17)   9(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   5( 5)   5(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   9( 9)   4(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
ISLA CLARION   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

20N 115W       34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  23(27)   3(30)   1(31)   X(31)
20N 115W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
20N 115W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

25N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  19(19)   5(24)   1(25)
25N 115W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
25N 115W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)

$$
FORECASTER REINHART