926
FOPZ12 KNHC 262033
PWSEP2

HURRICANE POLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172026
2100 UTC SAT SEP 26 2026

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE POLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125
KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)  10(20)   X(20)   X(20)
P ABREOJOS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
P ABREOJOS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

LORETO         34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)  56(72)   X(72)   X(72)
LORETO         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  30(31)   X(31)   X(31)
LORETO         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   X(12)   X(12)

HERMOSILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   1(10)   X(10)

GUAYMAS        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  49(50)   1(51)   X(51)
GUAYMAS        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)   1(18)   X(18)
GUAYMAS        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  19(19)   1(20)   X(20)
HUATABAMPO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

ISLA SOCORRO   34 97   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)

20N 115W       34 19  22(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)

25N 115W       34  X   X( X)  10(10)  16(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
25N 115W       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
25N 115W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY