808
FOPZ12 KNHC 021458
PWSEP2

TROPICAL STORM LORENA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122025
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1500 UTC TUE SEP 02 2025

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

PUNTA EUGENIA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)

P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  12(16)   6(22)   1(23)
P ABREOJOS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

LA PAZ         34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)

LORETO         34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   5(10)   2(12)   1(13)

BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)

GUAYMAS        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)

20N 110W       34 15  72(87)   1(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
20N 110W       50  2  43(45)   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
20N 110W       64  X   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

20N 115W       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

25N 115W       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  15(18)  23(41)   2(43)   X(43)
25N 115W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   X(12)   X(12)
25N 115W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER GALLINA