303
WTPZ22 KNHC 030241
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM LORENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122025
0300 UTC WED SEP 03 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 109.7W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
4 M SEAS.... 75NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 109.7W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 109.2W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.2N 111.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 22.3N 112.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 23.4N 113.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 24.6N 113.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 25.6N 113.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 26.6N 113.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 28.1N 112.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 109.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 03/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG