487
WTPZ22 KNHC 220835
TCMEP2

HURRICANE POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172026
0900 UTC TUE SEP 22 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 101.8W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 115 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  935 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  30SE  30SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  80SE  80SW  70NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 101.8W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 102.0W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 14.6N 101.6W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  50SE  45SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.0N 101.8W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.7N 102.5W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.4N 103.7W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.0N 105.2W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.4N 106.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 18.2N 109.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 20.1N 112.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 101.8W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 22/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI