Marine/Aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory
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186
WTPZ22 KNHC 031454
TCMEP2

HURRICANE LORENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122025
1500 UTC WED SEP 03 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 111.6W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 111.6W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 111.1W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 23.4N 112.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 24.5N 113.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 25.6N 113.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 26.4N 113.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 27.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 28.4N 112.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 30.4N 110.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 111.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 03/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN