Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
843 WTPZ32 KNHC 250837 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Hurricane Vance Advisory Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP222026 300 AM CST Sun Oct 25 2026 ...VANCE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY... SUMMARY OF 300 AM CST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.3N 103.4W ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of Vance. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM CST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Vance was located near latitude 14.3 North, longitude 103.4 West. Vance is moving toward the north-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). This slow north-northwest to northwest motion is expected to continue the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast the next couple of days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Through Thursday, Vance is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain, with isolated higher totals of 7 inches possible, across Colima and western portions of Michoacn and Jalisco. This rainfall may produce flooding and mudslides, especially in areas along steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Vance, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf. SURF: Swells generated by Vance will affect portions of the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico the next several days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Kelly