Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
447 WTPZ32 KNHC 241453 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Hurricane Vance Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP222026 900 AM CST Sat Oct 24 2026 ...VANCE WEAKENS A LITTLE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.9N 103.0W ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of Vance. A Tropical Storm Watch may be required for portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico later today or tonight. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM CST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Vance was located near latitude 12.9 North, longitude 103.0 West. Vance is moving toward the north-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), and a slow motion toward the north-northwest is expected to continue through the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are now near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected through Sunday. Some re-intensification will be possible beginning Sunday night or Monday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Through next Thursday, Vance is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches with isolated higher totals around 10 inches across Colima and western portions of Michoacn and Jalisco. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas along steep terrain. SURF: Swells generated by Vance will affect portions of the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico this weekend and continue into next week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Beven