Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
616 WTPZ32 KNHC 120232 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Raymond Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172025 800 PM MST Sat Oct 11 2025 ...RAYMOND BECOMES A REMNANT LOW AND THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY... ...REMNANT MOISTURE TO BRING A RISK OF FLASH FLOODING TO NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES FOR ANOTHER FEW DAYS... SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.9N 110.0W ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Raymond was located near latitude 22.9 North, longitude 110.0 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A north-northwestward to northward motion at a faster forward speed is expected until dissipation on Sunday. On the forecast track, the remnants of Raymond will move over Baja California Sur tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The remnant low should gradually weaken and dissipate on Sunday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Additional rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are expected across much of Sonora, northwestern Sinaloa, and northern Chihuahua through Sunday. This rainfall will bring a risk of flash flooding, especially in areas of higher terrain. Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches are expected across central Sinaloa, portions of Baja California Sur, and across the far southeast portion of Baja California. Moisture from Raymond will also bring the potential for additional heavy rainfall over portions of the Southwest U.S. Sunday into early next week. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Raymond, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Raymond will continue to affect the coasts of west-central Mexico and southern Baja California Sur through tonight, then gradually diminish on Sunday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Hagen