Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
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596
FOPZ13 KNHC 040834
PWSEP3

HURRICANE RACHEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182026
0900 UTC SUN OCT 04 2026

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RACHEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

ISLA CLARION   34  1   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

20N 115W       34 79  18(97)   1(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
20N 115W       50 14  59(73)   3(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)
20N 115W       64  1  38(39)   3(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)

20N 120W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  22(23)  40(63)   1(64)   X(64)
20N 120W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  23(27)   X(27)   X(27)
20N 120W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   X(11)   X(11)

20N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   3(14)

25N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)

25N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN