064
FOPZ13 KNHC 012035
PWSEP3

HURRICANE RACHEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182026
2100 UTC THU OCT 01 2026

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RACHEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

20N 110W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
20N 110W       50 91   3(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
20N 110W       64 31  13(44)   1(45)   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)

ISLA SOCORRO   34 94   3(97)   1(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  4  27(31)   9(40)   1(41)   1(42)   X(42)   X(42)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   8( 8)   7(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)   4(19)   1(20)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
ISLA CLARION   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)

20N 115W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)  56(66)  12(78)   1(79)
20N 115W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  31(32)  13(45)   X(45)
20N 115W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   9(23)   X(23)

20N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  20(20)  30(50)
20N 120W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  17(21)
20N 120W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)

25N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

20N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

$$
FORECASTER KELLY