Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
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840
FOPZ13 KNHC 042035
PWSEP3

HURRICANE MARIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132026
2100 UTC FRI SEP 04 2026

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

20N 120W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
20N 120W       50  9   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

25N 120W       34  X   3( 3)   6( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

25N 125W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  44(49)   8(57)   X(57)
25N 125W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)   5(21)   X(21)
25N 125W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)

30N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS