056
FOPZ13 KNHC 010850
PWSEP3

HURRICANE RACHEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182026
0900 UTC THU OCT 01 2026

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RACHEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

20N 110W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
20N 110W       50 80  13(93)   2(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
20N 110W       64 19  42(61)   8(69)   X(69)   1(70)   X(70)   X(70)

ISLA SOCORRO   34 70   8(78)   3(81)   1(82)   X(82)   X(82)   1(83)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X  10(10)   7(17)   2(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   7(16)   1(17)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
ISLA CLARION   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)

20N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  52(57)  15(72)   1(73)
20N 115W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  22(22)  15(37)   1(38)
20N 115W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  10(20)   1(21)

25N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

20N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  33(44)
20N 120W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  17(18)
20N 120W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)

25N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

20N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS