493
FOPZ13 KNHC 011448
PWSEP3

HURRICANE RACHEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182026
1500 UTC THU OCT 01 2026

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RACHEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

20N 110W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
20N 110W       50 92   4(96)   X(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
20N 110W       64 48  16(64)   1(65)   1(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)

ISLA SOCORRO   34 87   4(91)   1(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  1  12(13)   4(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   4(14)   X(14)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
ISLA CLARION   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)

20N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  53(63)  11(74)   1(75)
20N 115W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  28(29)  10(39)   X(39)
20N 115W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)   7(23)   X(23)

20N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  19(19)  32(51)
20N 120W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  21(24)
20N 120W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)

25N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

20N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

$$
FORECASTER KELLY