814
WTPZ23 KNHC 291449
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182026
1500 UTC TUE SEP 29 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 105.0W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 140SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....220NE 210SE  90SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 105.0W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 104.8W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.5N 106.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 140SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.9N 107.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 140SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 19.0N 108.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 140SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 19.7N 109.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 20.1N 110.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.4N 110.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 20.8N 112.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 100NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 21.1N 114.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 105.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPEP3...AT 29/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS