978
WTPZ23 KNHC 012034
TCMEP3

HURRICANE RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182026
2100 UTC THU OCT 01 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 109.5W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 120SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 109.5W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 109.4W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.5N 110.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 120SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 19.5N 110.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 110SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.6N 111.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.8N 112.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.0N 113.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.1N 114.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 20.2N 117.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 20.6N 120.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 109.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY