216
FOPZ14 KNHC 140255
PWSEP4

TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042025
0300 UTC SAT JUN 14 2025

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

SAN BLAS       34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

15N 105W       34 21  19(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34  1  17(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

MANZANILLO     34 15  31(46)   2(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)

L CARDENAS     34 93   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)

ZIHUATANEJO    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

15N 100W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

ACAPULCO       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

20N 110W       34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)  10(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)  16(20)  10(30)   X(30)   X(30)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)

20N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA/REINHART