231
FOPZ14 KNHC 141434
PWSEP4

TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042025
1500 UTC SAT JUN 14 2025

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

ISLAS MARIAS   34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SAN BLAS       34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

15N 105W       34 16   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34 15   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

MANZANILLO     34 39   1(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)

L CARDENAS     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

ZIHUATANEJO    34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 110W       34  2   2( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  1   2( 3)  10(13)   8(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

20N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER KELLY