788
WTPZ44 KNHC 152038
TCDEP4

Tropical Storm Dalila Discussion Number  13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042025
200 PM MST Sun Jun 15 2025

Dalila`s convection has collapsed, leaving behind a single
fragmented band of thunderstorms.  Subjective and objective
satellite estimates have lowered this cycle and the initial
intensity has been reduced to 40 kt based on a blend of the TAFB and
SAB Dvorak estimates. Dalila is expected to continue weakening as
the storm moves over cooler waters and into a hostile environment.
The NHC intensity forecast predicts Dalila to become a post-tropical
remnant low later today.

The storm is moving west-northwestward at 8 kt and should continue
gradually turning westward in the low-level flow. A more westward
motion is expected in the next day or two until the system
dissipates in a couple of days.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  15/2100Z 18.2N 108.4W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  16/0600Z 18.3N 109.6W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  16/1800Z 18.3N 111.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  17/0600Z 18.2N 113.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  17/1800Z 18.2N 115.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  18/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Bucci