211
FOPZ15 KNHC 050238
PWSEP5

TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152025
0300 UTC SUN OCT 05 2025

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)

15N 120W       34  2   3( 5)   3( 8)  10(18)  15(33)   2(35)   X(35)
15N 120W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
15N 120W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

20N 120W       34  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

15N 125W       34 19   4(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)   1(25)   X(25)

20N 125W       34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI