392
WTPZ25 KNHC 170845
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052025
0900 UTC TUE JUN 17 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  93.6W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  93.6W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N  93.3W

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 12.5N  94.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 13.2N  95.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 14.0N  96.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 15.3N  97.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.8N  99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.3N 101.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 20.0N 104.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N  93.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 17/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/GIBBS