822
WTPZ25 KNHC 032034
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152025
2100 UTC FRI OCT 03 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 121.7W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE  75SE  45SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 121.7W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 121.4W

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.1N 122.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.7N 123.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.2N 124.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.6N 123.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.7N 123.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.7N 122.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 15.2N 120.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 15.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 121.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY