196
WTPZ25 KNHC 050238
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152025
0300 UTC SUN OCT 05 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 124.1W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 75NE  60SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 124.1W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 124.1W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.8N 124.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.2N 123.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.2N 122.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 16.1N 121.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.9N 120.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 15.5N 118.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 15.6N 116.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 124.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI