Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
368 FXUS64 KEPZ 040551 AFDEPZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 1051 PM MST Tue Nov 3 2026 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 954 PM MST Tue Nov 3 2026 - Mainly dry through the weekend with temperatures near or slightly below normal. - Breezy Wednesday afternoon, otherwise winds on the light side. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 954 PM MST Tue Nov 3 2026 Temperatures for the rest of the evening will be in the mid to upper 40s around El Paso, and closer to the low 40s outside the metropolitan area. Temperatures will rise to the low to mid 70s on Wednesday, at or around seasonal normals for early November. Winds will increase from the west to about 10-15 mph as an upper-level low passes through the Four Corners. This upper-level low will bring a Pacific cold front that will cool temperatures down overnight and into Thursday. Conditions for the rest of the week will be dry and quiet, though an upper level trough moving through the Desert Southwest around Friday/Saturday could bring some limited moisture and rain chances. The ECMWF has a cutoff low splitting off from the trough Saturday afternoon, while the GFS does not. It remains to be seen how much precipitation we`ll see. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 954 PM MST Tue Nov 3 2026 VFR conditions expected for the period. Some 180-2108G17KT winds may be felt at KTCS and KDMN around 18Z as an upper level low moves through the Four Corners. The other TAF sites will see generally calm winds from the west with clear skies. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 948 AM MST Tue Nov 3 2026 No fire weather concerns are forecast through the week. Recent rainfall has caused fuels to drop to near record lows for fire danger. Light winds for the rest of today and tonight before becoming breezy Wednesday afternoon from W-SW. Winds of 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph are expected tomorrow afternoon and smoke dispersion to the east. Dry and calmer Thu into Fri, then a slight chance of rain showers into Sat. Minimal threat of lightning into the weekend. Temps will be near or slightly below normal. Min RHs range from 30-50%. Vent rates will be fair to good Wed, otherwise poor to fair. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 47 74 48 70 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 42 75 48 70 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 41 68 43 66 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 42 70 45 66 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 32 51 34 47 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 41 70 43 64 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 38 64 37 62 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 40 69 41 66 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 39 68 39 66 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 49 73 50 69 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 44 74 47 70 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 49 83 52 76 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 44 68 46 65 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 47 79 50 74 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 44 71 46 68 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 46 71 48 67 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 41 69 43 66 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 41 72 43 69 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 43 72 45 68 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 42 70 44 65 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 34 66 38 58 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 34 61 37 59 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 33 59 37 57 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 33 66 33 59 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 41 71 41 63 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 40 68 41 65 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 32 65 31 64 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 37 66 37 63 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 39 69 38 68 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 37 65 35 64 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 39 65 40 62 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 40 71 42 68 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 39 72 41 66 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 42 75 45 69 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 43 66 44 65 / 0 0 0 0 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && $$ FORECASTER...41-Zotter