Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
753 FXUS64 KEPZ 261700 AFDEPZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 1000 AM MST Wed Nov 26 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 936 AM MST Wed Nov 26 2025 - Dry weather, with few clouds, mild temperatures, and generally light winds through the week, including Thanksgiving day. - Cooler temperatures arrive by Sunday with a low chance of precipitation on Monday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 936 AM MST Wed Nov 26 2025 Quiet weather will continue over the region through Saturday. A high pressure ridge will build over the are the rest of today through Thursday. Afterwards, the ridge will erode into a flat westerly zonal flow Friday into Saturday. Thanksgiving Day will have pleasant weather. Mild weather conditions will prevail with mostly sunny skies with a few high clouds, generally light winds with some light breeziness Friday and Saturday afternoons. Temperatures will seasonably mild running a few degrees above normal Through the period. The weather pattern will begin to shift early Sunday as a cold front will start to push in from the east and begin to cool off temperatures back closer to normal. The front may stall out at the Rio Grande Valley before beginning to retreat back the east Sunday night into Monday. Winds will be east to southeasterly with stronger gusts along the west facing slopes of area mountains. A low pressure trough will move into the area from the Great Basin Sunday night into Monday. Models continue to have some uncertainty on the track of the system, but model run trends indicate that the trough will likely have less of an impact with lower chances for precip in the area with each succeeding run. That said there remains a slight chance of rain showers and mountain snow for Monday with much cooler temperatures expected. Afterwards, dry conditions will return to the region while we wait for the next weather system later next week. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 936 AM MST Wed Nov 26 2025 Quiet weather will result in VFR conditions at all TAF sites. Light east to northeast winds, as a pressure gradient has brought easterly flow to the area. Steadiest winds will be at DMN, up to 10 knots around mid- morning. Light and variable winds will prevail again tonight and into tomorrow, with clear to mostly clear skies. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 936 AM MST Wed Nov 26 2025 Quiet weather conditions will prevail through the next several days. Main fire weather concern will be limited mixing heights and light winds, which will yield poor vent rates for much of the area this afternoon and Thursday. Expect significant improvement on Friday outside the Tularosa Basin as zonal flow aloft takes over. Weekend precip chances have dissipated. A fast moving trough will bring a slight uptick in northwest winds on Monday, and we`re hanging onto a slight chance for precip as it passes through during the day on Monday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 40 70 45 71 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 35 66 39 69 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 33 64 37 66 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 32 65 38 66 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 28 50 29 48 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 36 62 39 66 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 33 61 35 63 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 32 67 35 70 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 31 64 35 67 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 41 67 46 69 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 31 67 37 71 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 38 73 45 76 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 38 63 41 63 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 36 70 43 71 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 36 65 40 67 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 40 65 45 69 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 26 64 33 67 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 31 66 37 71 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 36 67 39 71 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 33 65 38 66 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 32 60 32 61 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 30 61 32 59 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 28 56 31 56 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 26 58 28 63 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 36 62 39 69 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 29 62 36 66 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 28 64 31 63 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 30 62 33 66 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 28 68 32 69 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 29 65 31 64 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 35 61 38 64 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 31 65 36 70 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 30 64 34 70 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 33 65 37 71 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 38 62 42 64 / 0 0 0 0 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && $$ FORECASTER...04-Lundeen