Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
665
FNUS54 KEPZ 151055
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
455 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns will be low through the forecast period.
Storm activity will be favored in western areas through Wednesday
with heavy rainfall potential. Storm chances increase area-wide
later in the week with a low threat of flash flooding, especially
over recent burn scars. Storms will be capable of producing
frequent lightning and gusty outflow winds. Winds will be light to
modestly breezy otherwise with near normal temperatures.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-152100-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
455 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....77-82.
* Below 7500 ft....83-91.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....23-28 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....22-27 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......8700 ft AGL increasing to 12300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (96700 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....54-59.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....64-69 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....65-70 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....76-81.
* Below 7500 ft....82-89.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....26-31 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...80 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (73300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms. Lows
57 to 62. Highs 81 to 86. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms. Lows 57 to
62. Highs 82 to 87. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms. Lows 58 to
63. Highs 81 to 86. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-152100-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
455 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........20-25 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL increasing to 12600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (105600 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....66-71.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........65-70 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the morning, then rain
showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....88-93.
* Min humidity........26-31 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 9200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (117400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 71. Highs 89 to 94. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 90 to 95.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 90 to 95. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-152100-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
455 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........19-23 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL increasing to 12200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (88900 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........55-60 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* Min humidity........19-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (93000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 91 to 96. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 89 to 94. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 91 to 96. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-152100-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
455 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....72-79.
* Below 7500 ft....80-88.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....33-43 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (87900 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....53-58.
* Below 7500 ft....60-65.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....66-71 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....75-80.
* Below 7500 ft....81-90.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....36-41 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....25-30 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......8700 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (80500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 58 to 63. Highs 80 to 85. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 57 to 62. Highs 78 to 83. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 58 to 63. Highs 80 to 85. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-152100-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
455 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....92-96.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........20-22 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 3 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL increasing to 12200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (57900 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....73-75.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........57-62 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....93-97.
* Min humidity........20-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 12500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (99100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the lower
to mid 90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the lower to mid 90s.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-152100-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
455 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....88-93.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........23-27 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 3 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (49700 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........62-67 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* Min humidity........23-27 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 12700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (83500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 88 to 93. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 88 to 93. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 89 to 94. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
Aronson