Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
013
FNUS54 KEPZ 071900
FWFEPZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
100 PM MDT Tue Oct 7 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Persistent east-southeast flow through the end of the week will
keep RH`s in the 20s/30s through Fri. There will be some scattered
showers and storms through Wednesday followed by dry weather for
Thu/Fri. The breakdown of an upper ridge will bring a surge of
moisture from the west going into the weekend and early next week
with some widespread wetting rains and higher RH`s/cooler temps.
Winds over the I-10 corridor may be a concern through Friday with
sustained speeds of 15-30mph possible, especially west of Deming.

&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.



NMZ110-081230-
 Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
100 PM MDT Tue Oct 7 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
                      Chance of showers and thunderstorms after
                      midnight.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....45-49.
*    Below 7500 ft....51-56.
*    24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....93-98 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....90-95 percent.
*    24 hr trend......42 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
                      chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....64-69.
*    Below 7500 ft....72-77.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....47-52 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....42-47 percent.
*    24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400-6000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (64800 knot-ft).

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                      showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                      the evening, then slight chance of rain
                      showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....46-50.
*    Below 7500 ft....52-57.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....92-97 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....88-93 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance
                      of rain showers through the day. Slight
                      chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....61-66.
*    Below 7500 ft....70-75.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....53-58 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....46-51 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4900-6700 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (78300 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 52 to 57. Highs 71 to 76. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 52 to 57. Highs 70 to 75. South winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 51 to 56. Highs 61 to 66. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NMZ111-081230-
 Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
100 PM MDT Tue Oct 7 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....59-63.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........77-82 percent.
*    24 hr trend......32 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
* Max temperature.....79-84.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........34-39 percent.
*    24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL increasing to 5800 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (79500 knot-ft).

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
                      of thunderstorms in the evening. Slight
                      chance of rain showers through the night.
* Min temperature.....60-64.
* Max humidity........76-81 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Max temperature.....78-83.
* Min humidity........36-41 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 8400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (130100 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs in
the lower to mid 80s. Southeast winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 81 to 86.
South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 70 to 75. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ112-081230-
 South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
100 PM MDT Tue Oct 7 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                      mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms through the night.
* Min temperature.....57-62.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........88-93 percent.
*    24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1200,
                      then partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight
                      chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....76-81.
*    24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........39-44 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 6100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (80400 knot-ft).

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
                      of thunderstorms in the evening. Slight
                      chance of rain showers through the night.
* Min temperature.....57-61.
* Max humidity........87-92 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Max temperature.....75-80.
* Min humidity........41-46 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 8100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (124900 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows near 60. Highs 79 to 84. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 81 to 86. South winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 60. Highs 72 to 77. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NMZ113-081230-
 Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
100 PM MDT Tue Oct 7 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                      mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....43-48.
*    Below 7500 ft....49-54.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....96-100 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....95-100 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance
                      of thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of rain
                      showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....58-63.
*    Below 7500 ft....66-71.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....70-75 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....59-64 percent.
*    24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......3100-4100 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (32300 knot-ft).

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....43-48.
*    Below 7500 ft....49-54.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....94-99 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....93-98 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....58-63.
*    Below 7500 ft....67-72.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....68-73 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....53-58 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400-6200 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (54300 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 69 to 74. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 71 to 76.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 52 to 57. Highs 64 to 69. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.

$$

TXZ055-081230-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
 El Paso County-
100 PM MDT Tue Oct 7 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance
                      of thunderstorms in the evening. Slight
                      chance of showers through the night.
* Min temperature.....63-68.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........72-77 percent.
*    24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 1200,
                      then partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight
                      chance of showers until 1200.
* Max temperature.....79-83.
*    24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........36-40 percent.
*    24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 8300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (115000 knot-ft).

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
* Min temperature.....63-65.
* Max humidity........77-82 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Max temperature.....79-83.
* Min humidity........38-43 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 8900 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (141500 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower
to mid 80s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
to upper 80s. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs in the mid to
upper 70s. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ056-081230-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
 Hudspeth County-
100 PM MDT Tue Oct 7 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
* Min temperature.....58-63.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........89-94 percent.
*    24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1200,
                      then partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
* Max temperature.....76-81.
*    24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........44-49 percent.
*    24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 6700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (77200 knot-ft).

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Min temperature.....58-63.
* Max humidity........92-97 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Max temperature.....75-80.
* Min humidity........45-50 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (101500 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 79 to 84. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 81 to 86. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 75 to 80. West
winds around 5 mph.

$$
26