Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
381
FNUS54 KEPZ 031158
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
558 AM MDT Wed Sep 3 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Continued relatively dry today and Thursday, with just a few
afternoon thunderstorms possible over the mountain zones. Tropical
moisture begins moving in Thursday night and moreso on Friday. All
zones will see a chance of rain Friday into Saturday afternoon.
Forecaster confidence still low, but local flash flooding is possible
Friday and Saturday. Seasonable temperatures today and Thursday will
cool below normal Friday and Saturday with the clouds and showers.
Trending drier and warmer again on Sunday.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-031845-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
558 AM MDT Wed Sep 3 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....74-79.
* Below 7500 ft....83-88.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....21-25 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....18-22 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......8700 ft AGL increasing to 11900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (84000 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....50-55.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....57-62 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....52-57 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....74-79.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....22-26 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....20-24 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL increasing to 10600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (94500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 53 to 58. Highs 71 to 76. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
51 to 56. Highs 71 to 76. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 56. Highs 77 to 82. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-031845-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
558 AM MDT Wed Sep 3 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....88-93.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........16-20 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL increasing to 11800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (109800 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........54-59 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....86-91.
* Min humidity........21-26 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 9500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (84500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Not as warm. Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 74 to 79.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 60. Highs 77 to 82. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
near 60. Highs 84 to 89. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-031845-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
558 AM MDT Wed Sep 3 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....88-93.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........16-20 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (74800 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........45-50 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....88-93.
* Min humidity........17-19 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph increasing to
southwest around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (115700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Not as warm. Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 78 to 83.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 60. Highs 76 to 81. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
near 60. Highs 84 to 89. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-031845-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
558 AM MDT Wed Sep 3 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....72-77.
* Below 7500 ft....80-85.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....31-36 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....24-29 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......8400 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (110300 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....50-55.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....56-61 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....49-54 percent.
* 24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....72-77.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....20-25 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......9100 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (113100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Not as warm. Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 60. Highs 70 to 75. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 50 to 55. Highs 66 to 71. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
51 to 56. Highs 73 to 78. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-031845-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
558 AM MDT Wed Sep 3 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....92-95.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........18-20 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL increasing to 11800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (83200 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
* Min temperature.....Around 70.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........42-47 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
* Max temperature.....90-94.
* Min humidity........17-19 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 10200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (87800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Not as warm. Cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs near 80. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs near 80. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-031845-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
558 AM MDT Wed Sep 3 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........19-23 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (97700 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
* Min temperature.....62-66.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........49-54 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* Min humidity........18-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (72100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Not as warm. Cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Highs 75 to 80. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 77 to 82. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
60 to 65. Highs 82 to 87. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
DH