Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
700
FNUS54 KEPZ 172117
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
317 PM MDT Tue Jun 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure continues to influence the area bringing warm
and very dry air leading to continued near critical fire danger
the next few days. Min RHs in the lowlands will stay 15 percent
or lower each day but the Sacramento Mountains will stay 20-30%.
Winds stay generally 10-15 mph each afternoon with dry conditions.
The Sacramento Mountains could see a pop up shower tomorrow and
Thursday but otherwise dry.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-181230-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
317 PM MDT Tue Jun 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....54-59.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....18-22 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....17-22 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 25 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....84-89.
* Below 7500 ft....92-97.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....5-7 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....5-7 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......10700 ft AGL increasing to 16100 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (147100 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....56-61.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....32-37 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.JUNETEENTH...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....84-89.
* Below 7500 ft....93-98.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....9-13 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....8-12 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......11400 ft AGL increasing to 16300 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (213600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 62 to 67. Highs 90 to 95. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 87 to 92.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
58 to 63. Highs 83 to 88. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ111-181230-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
317 PM MDT Tue Jun 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....65-70.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........16-21 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Northwest winds around 20 mph
decreasing to around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....98-102.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........4-6 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL increasing to 14100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (96100 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-72.
* Max humidity........27-32 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
east after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.JUNETEENTH...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-103.
* Min humidity........7-9 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......9900 ft AGL increasing to 17300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (196300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 99 to 103.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 72. Highs 96 to 101. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
66 to 71. Highs 90 to 95. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ112-181230-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
317 PM MDT Tue Jun 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....66-71.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........22-27 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....96-101.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........6-11 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 15 mph shifting to the
east in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 15600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....North around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (124500 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-72.
* Max humidity........47-52 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.JUNETEENTH...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....97-102.
* Min humidity........10-14 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......8900 ft AGL increasing to 15400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (181400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 69 to 74. Highs 96 to 101. South winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 69 to 74. Highs 96 to 101. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
near 70. Highs 92 to 97. South winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ113-181230-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
317 PM MDT Tue Jun 17 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....50-55.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....47-52 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62 percent.
* 24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 28 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....78-83.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....19-24 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....16-21 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL increasing to 13200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (126900 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....51-56.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....80-85 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....73-78 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.JUNETEENTH...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....77-82.
* Below 7500 ft....87-92.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....22-27 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....17-21 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......10000 ft AGL increasing to 12500 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (157600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 85 to 90. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 85 to 90. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 64. Highs 82 to 87. South winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-181230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
317 PM MDT Tue Jun 17 2025
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....72-76.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........16-21 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-103.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........8-10 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph shifting to the
east in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 14700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (119700 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....74-76.
* Max humidity........47-52 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.JUNETEENTH...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-103.
* Min humidity........12-14 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......9000 ft AGL increasing to 14600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (190200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs 98 to 102.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs 97 to 101.
South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-181230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
317 PM MDT Tue Jun 17 2025
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........27-32 percent.
* 24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....95-100.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........11-15 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 14200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (132600 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-72.
* Max humidity........62-67 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.JUNETEENTH...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....95-100.
* Min humidity........14-18 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL increasing to 13500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (173500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 68 to 73. Highs 94 to 99. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 94 to 99. South winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 90 to 95. South winds around 10 mph.
$$