Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
617
FNUS54 KEPZ 181048
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
448 AM MDT Mon Aug 18 2025
.DISCUSSION...
With continued moist conditions, fire weather concerns are low.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms can be expected through the
day. Temperatures this afternoon will remain slightly below the
seasonal average for mid August. Afternoon Min RH values will be
above 25-30 percent areawide, with slight drying trend for areas
along the AZ/NM state border. Prevailing afternoon winds will be
generally south at 5-10 mph. The main threats with afternoon
convection will be heavy rain and localized flash flooding,
especially in the vicinity of recent burn scars, gusty and erratic
outflow winds can`t be ruled out as well.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-182000-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
448 AM MDT Mon Aug 18 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....76-81.
* Below 7500 ft....84-89.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1-4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL increasing to 9900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (64400 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....54-58.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....72-77 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....74-79 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5-10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Numerous
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....75-80.
* Below 7500 ft....83-88.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....35-40 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....34-39 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...70 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......7200-9000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (79400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 58 to 63. Highs 82 to 87. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 58 to 63. Highs 83 to 88. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
58 to 63. Highs 84 to 89. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-182000-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
448 AM MDT Mon Aug 18 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* 24 hr trend......1-3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........27-32 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1-3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 9400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (51500 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........74-79 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....89-93.
* Min humidity........31-36 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 9700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (70900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 89 to 94. East winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 91 to 96.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs
91 to 96. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-182000-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
448 AM MDT Mon Aug 18 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....88-93.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........32-37 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 8500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (50700 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........75-80 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* Min humidity........34-39 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL increasing to 9200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (60900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 88 to 93. East winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs
89 to 94. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs
89 to 94. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-182000-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
448 AM MDT Mon Aug 18 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....70-75.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....57-62 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....39-44 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2-5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......6700-8600 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (53400 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....51-56.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....88-93 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....70-75.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....58-63 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....40-45 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 9300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (75200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 62. Highs 79 to 84. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 79 to 84. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 79 to 84. East winds around
5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-182000-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
448 AM MDT Mon Aug 18 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....90-94.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........31-35 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 9200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (45400 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....70-72.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........70-75 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....89-93.
* Min humidity........35-39 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 8300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (53100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs near 90. East winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs in the lower to mid
90s. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs in the lower to mid
90s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-182000-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
448 AM MDT Mon Aug 18 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........38-43 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 8300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (43700 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........80-85 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....86-91.
* Min humidity........39-44 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 7600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (53400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 86 to 91. East winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 86 to 91. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 87 to
92. East winds around 5 mph.
$$