Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
043
FNUS54 KEPZ 241926
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
126 PM MDT Mon Jun 24 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM MDT
THURSDAY...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT THURSDAY...
.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns remain low through the week. Storm chances
will increase somewhat area-wide on Tuesday, but focusing over
the mountains. Wednesday and Thursday will see high moisture
content and the enhanced risk of flash flooding, especially over
sensitive areas such as recent burn scars. Other than gusty
outflows, winds will remain light, shifting more westerly later
in the week. Hot temepratures are expected through Wednesday,
cooling slightly late in the week.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-251230-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
126 PM MDT Mon Jun 24 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....58-64.
* Below 7500 ft....65-70.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....65-70 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........5.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms after
1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....79-89.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....24-29 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......9100 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (70600 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....60-64.
* Below 7500 ft....66-71.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....64-69 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........5.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....80-89.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....31-35 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....25-29 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 5.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......9200-11100 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (89300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 63 to 68. Highs 82 to 87. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 67. Highs 84 to 89. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 68. Highs 85 to 90. North winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-251230-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
126 PM MDT Mon Jun 24 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the evening.
* Min temperature.....71-75.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........53-58 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........5.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....98-103.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........19-24 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL increasing to 13700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (103800 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....73-77.
* Max humidity........50-55 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........4.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Showers likely
and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....98-103.
* Min humidity........20-25 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL increasing to 13300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (115000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the lower
to mid 90s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 94 to 99. West winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 95 to 100.
Northwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ112-251230-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
126 PM MDT Mon Jun 24 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM MDT
THURSDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....72-76.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........43-48 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
north after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................2 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........5.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....99-104.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........16-20 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL increasing to 13800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (76900 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the evening.
* Min temperature.....74-78.
* Max humidity........43-48 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........5.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....99-104.
* Min humidity........19-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......9000 ft AGL increasing to 12200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (94300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 93 to 98. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 95 to 100. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 96 to 101.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-251230-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
126 PM MDT Mon Jun 24 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....57-62.
* Below 7500 ft....64-69.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....59-64 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....54-59 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........4.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....80-89.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....21-29 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......9500 ft AGL increasing to 12200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (72000 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....58-63.
* Below 7500 ft....66-71.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....62-67 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........5.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....79-84.
* Below 7500 ft....85-94.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....33-38 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....25-30 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......9800 ft AGL increasing to 11800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (126600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 67. Highs 84 to 89. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 67. Highs 86 to 91. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 68. Highs 84 to 89. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-251230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
126 PM MDT Mon Jun 24 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT THURSDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....76-82.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........42-47 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....102-108.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........15-17 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 3 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1500, then 3.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL increasing to 14300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (68400 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....78-84.
* Max humidity........43-48 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........5.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....102-106.
* Min humidity........18-20 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL increasing to 12800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (77100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs 96 to 100. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs 99 to 103. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs 99 to 103.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-251230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
126 PM MDT Mon Jun 24 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....72-76.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........54-59 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent) until 1200, then partly
cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....98-103.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........17-21 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL increasing to 13600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (69900 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....74-78.
* Max humidity........51-56 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........5.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....97-102.
* Min humidity........20-24 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......8900 ft AGL increasing to 12300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (116600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 94 to 99.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 96 to 101. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 95 to 100.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
Aronson