Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
441
FNUS54 KEPZ 311213
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
613 AM MDT Sun Aug 31 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Only fire concern over the next five days will be burn scar flooding
today/this evening. Monsoon moisture will persist over the fire zones
today, causing the flood threat. Moisture diminishes some on Monday
with storms trending down in coverage and intensity. By Tuesday into
Thursday the drying continues, and storms should be isolated and
limited mainly to the mountains. Temperatures will run around normal
to slightly below for this week.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-312000-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
613 AM MDT Sun Aug 31 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....75-80.
* Below 7500 ft....82-87.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....37-42 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....34-39 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......6800-8700 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (57600 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....50-54.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....85-90 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....86-91 percent.
* 24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.LABOR DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....71-76.
* Below 7500 ft....79-84.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....33-38 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....32-37 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL increasing to 9800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (74900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 54 to 59. Highs 77 to 82. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 58. Highs 79 to 84. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 54 to 59. Highs 79 to 84. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-312000-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
613 AM MDT Sun Aug 31 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms after 1400.
* Max temperature.....86-91.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........32-37 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL increasing to 8300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (87300 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........82-87 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.LABOR DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms through the day.
* Max temperature.....83-88.
* Min humidity........31-36 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL increasing to 8600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (100800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 84 to 89. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs
86 to 91. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 87 to 92.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-312000-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
613 AM MDT Sun Aug 31 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....86-91.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........37-42 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL increasing to 7800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (58400 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....61-65.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........88-93 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.LABOR DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....82-87.
* Min humidity........30-35 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 9300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (84300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 84 to 89.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs
87 to 92. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 87 to 92.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-312000-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
613 AM MDT Sun Aug 31 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....67-72.
* Below 7500 ft....74-79.
* 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....67-72 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....51-56 percent.
* 24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 6700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (50800 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....46-51.
* Below 7500 ft....54-59.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....93-98 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....92-97 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.LABOR DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....66-71.
* Below 7500 ft....74-79.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....50-55 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....38-43 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 8800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (68800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 52 to 57. Highs 75 to 80. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 58. Highs 77 to 82. West winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 54 to 59. Highs 76 to 81. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-312000-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
613 AM MDT Sun Aug 31 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms after 1400.
* Max temperature.....88-92.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........37-41 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 8200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (72600 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
showers in the evening. Chance of
thunderstorms through the night. Slight
chance of showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....66-68.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........82-87 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.LABOR DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....86-90.
* Min humidity........32-36 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 8800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (88400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
80s to lower 90s. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs
near 90. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs
near 90. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-312000-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
613 AM MDT Sun Aug 31 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms until 1400, then
scattered showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....85-89.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........46-51 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL increasing to 6600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (63000 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....61-66.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........94-99 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.LABOR DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....83-87.
* Min humidity........40-45 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 8300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (87100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 83 to 88. East
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 60. Highs 85 to 90. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs
86 to 91. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
DH