Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
015
FNUS54 KEPZ 182027
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
227 PM MDT Fri Jul 18 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Primary fire threat remains focused around thunderstorm hazards.
Scattered storms across both GNF and LNF this afternoon, spreading
across the NM lowlands this evening. Storms will be capable of
flash flooding, especially around burn scars. Prevailing winds out
of the south 5 to 10 mph resulting in Fair ventilation and min RH
30-40% today. Scattered storms continue this weekend with the
best chances across GNF and western NM. No major shifts in the
weather pattern next week, with daily afternoon storm chances,
near normal temperatures, and light prevailing flow.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-191215-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
227 PM MDT Fri Jul 18 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms through the night.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....54-58.
* Below 7500 ft....60-65.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....72-77 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....71-76 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Rain showers
and thunderstorms likely after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....75-80.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....31-36 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....26-31 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...70 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL increasing to 9900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (69400 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....53-58.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....68-73 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....66-71 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....76-81.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....24-29 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...80 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......8400 ft AGL increasing to 10500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (96200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms. Lows
58 to 63. Highs 81 to 86. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 57 to 62. Highs 80 to 85. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 81 to 86. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-191215-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
227 PM MDT Fri Jul 18 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....65-69.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........70-75 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...70 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........23-28 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (69400 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* Max humidity........66-71 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...70 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* Min humidity........23-28 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (91900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 89 to 94. West winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 88 to 93. West winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 89 to 94. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-191215-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
227 PM MDT Fri Jul 18 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....67-71.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........64-69 percent.
* 24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........20-24 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (86800 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* Max humidity........54-59 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....93-98.
* Min humidity........20-24 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL increasing to 12700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (125600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
near 70. Highs 91 to 96. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 88 to 93. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 88 to 93. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-191215-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
227 PM MDT Fri Jul 18 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....52-57.
* Below 7500 ft....60-65.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....80-85 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....70-75 percent.
* 24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....74-79.
* Below 7500 ft....84-89.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....38-43 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL increasing to 10100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (93800 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....53-58.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....66-71 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....60-65 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....76-81.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....34-39 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....25-30 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......9100 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (109200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 60 to 65. Highs 81 to 86. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
57 to 62. Highs 78 to 83. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 62. Highs 78 to 83. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-191215-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
227 PM MDT Fri Jul 18 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....71-73.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........59-63 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....93-97.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........21-23 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 11800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (62900 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....73-75.
* Max humidity........51-55 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....95-99.
* Min humidity........20-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 12600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (98200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the 90s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs near 90. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs near 90. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-191215-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
227 PM MDT Fri Jul 18 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....67-71.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........59-64 percent.
* 24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........20-24 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (65800 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* Max humidity........53-58 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* Min humidity........21-25 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL increasing to 12700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (75800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 89 to 94. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 85 to 90. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 85 to 90. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
Dennhardt