Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
434
FNUS54 KEPZ 171015
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
415 AM MDT Tue Jun 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TUESDAY NIGHT...
.DISCUSSION...
Very dry conditions with minimum RH values well into the single-
digits will combine with winds around 15 to 20 MPH with gusts as
high as 35 MPH along with hot conditions to create near critical
to low-end critical fire weather conditions for much of the area.
A Red Flag Warning is in effect for the New Mexico lowlands and
Gila National Forest. Wednesday will feature very dry weather
again but with much lighter winds.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-171830-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
415 AM MDT Tue Jun 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....83-88.
* Below 7500 ft....91-96.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....6-8 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....4-6 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......10700 ft AGL increasing to 14800 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (332700 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....53-58.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....18-22 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....17-22 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 25 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....85-90.
* Below 7500 ft....93-98.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....5-7 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....5-7 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......9400 ft AGL increasing to 17100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (151300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 90 to 95. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 91 to 96. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 88 to 93.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ111-171830-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
415 AM MDT Tue Jun 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....98-102.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........4-6 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL increasing to 14200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (308600 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....65-70.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........15-20 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....98-102.
* Min humidity........4-6 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL increasing to 14600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (78500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs
100 to 105. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 100 to 105. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 102.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ112-171830-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
415 AM MDT Tue Jun 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-104.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........4-9 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......9900 ft AGL increasing to 17100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (344200 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....66-71.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........22-27 percent.
* 24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....97-102.
* Min humidity........6-11 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph shifting to the
east in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL increasing to 15800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (77400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 67 to 72. Highs 97 to 102. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 69 to 74. Highs 96 to 101. South winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 102. South winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ113-171830-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
415 AM MDT Tue Jun 17 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....81-86.
* Below 7500 ft....91-96.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....6-8 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....5-7 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......11100 ft AGL increasing to 16100 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (341600 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....52-57.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....45-50 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....55-60 percent.
* 24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 26 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....77-82.
* Below 7500 ft....86-91.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....19-24 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....15-20 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL increasing to 13200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (120100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 85 to 90. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 86 to 91. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 86 to 91. South winds around
10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-171830-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
415 AM MDT Tue Jun 17 2025
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....102-106.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........4-9 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL increasing to 16100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (351000 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....71-75.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........15-19 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-103.
* Min humidity........7-9 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 15100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (104800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs 99 to 103. East
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs 97 to 101.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs 98 to 102.
South winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-171830-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
415 AM MDT Tue Jun 17 2025
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TUESDAY NIGHT...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-104.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........5-7 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8900 ft AGL increasing to 16800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (347700 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-71.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........26-31 percent.
* 24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....96-101.
* Min humidity........10-14 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 14300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (121900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 67 to 72. Highs 95 to 100. East winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 68 to 73. Highs 94 to 99. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 95 to 100. South winds
around 10 mph.
$$