Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
688
FNUS54 KEPZ 161922
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
122 PM MDT Mon Jun 16 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
TUESDAY NIGHT...
.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather conditions will worsen for Tuesday as breezy west
winds develop. Critically dry fuels, very low humidity, and hot
temperatures contribute to critical fire danger Tuesday afternoon,
mainly in southwest New Mexico. Lighter winds return for Wednesday
as dry and hot conditions persist into late week. Moisture
increases into next the weekend from the east with better
overnight recoveries. Ventilation will be good to excellent.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-171230-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
122 PM MDT Mon Jun 16 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
TUESDAY NIGHT...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....56-61.
* Below 7500 ft....62-67.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....16-20 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....15-20 percent.
* 24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....82-89.
* Below 7500 ft....91-96.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....6-8 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....5-7 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......10000 ft AGL increasing to 14600 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (337900 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....52-57.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....20-25 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....18-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph becoming
northwest around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 26 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....84-89.
* Below 7500 ft....90-97.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....6-8 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....5-7 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......9400 ft AGL increasing to 17300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (155900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 90 to 95. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 90 to 95. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 89 to 94.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ111-171230-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
122 PM MDT Mon Jun 16 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
TUESDAY NIGHT...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-72.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........14-19 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....98-103.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........4-6 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL increasing to 14700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (324800 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....64-69.
* Max humidity........16-21 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph becoming
northwest around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....98-102.
* Min humidity........4-6 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL increasing to 14600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (126100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs
100 to 104. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 99 to 103. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 102. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ112-171230-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
122 PM MDT Mon Jun 16 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
TUESDAY NIGHT...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....69-74.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........17-22 percent.
* 24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
west after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-104.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........4-6 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 10 mph increasing
to around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......9900 ft AGL increasing to 17200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (372100 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....66-71.
* Max humidity........18-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph becoming
northwest around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....97-102.
* Min humidity........5-9 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph shifting to the
east in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL increasing to 15500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....North around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (118000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 67 to 72. Highs 97 to 102. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 68 to 73. Highs 96 to 101. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 102. South winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ113-171230-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
122 PM MDT Mon Jun 16 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....57-62.
* Below 7500 ft....64-69.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....24-29 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....21-26 percent.
* 24 hr trend......25 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....81-89.
* Below 7500 ft....91-96.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....7-9 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....6-8 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......11700 ft AGL increasing to 16600 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (366400 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....52-57.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....31-36 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....44-49 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 29 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....78-85.
* Below 7500 ft....86-91.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....18-23 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....14-19 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL increasing to 13500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (128600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.JUNETEENTH...Mostly clear. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 85 to 90.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 86 to 91. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 86 to 91. South
winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-171230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
122 PM MDT Mon Jun 16 2025
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
TUESDAY NIGHT...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....73-77.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........21-26 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....102-108.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........5-7 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL increasing to 16700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (369900 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....71-75.
* Max humidity........14-18 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-103.
* Min humidity........6-8 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL increasing to 15300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....North around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (115300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs 99 to 103. East
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs 98 to 102.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs 98 to 102. South
winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-171230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
122 PM MDT Mon Jun 16 2025
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
TUESDAY NIGHT...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....70-74.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........35-40 percent.
* 24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....100-107.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........6-8 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8600 ft AGL increasing to 17400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (350600 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* Max humidity........20-25 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....96-101.
* Min humidity........7-11 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL increasing to 15000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....North around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (128100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 95 to 100. East winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 68 to 73. Highs 94 to 99. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 94 to 99. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
$$
Aronson