Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
452
FNUS54 KEPZ 271748
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1148 AM MDT Wed Aug 27 2025
.DISCUSSION...
There will be no fire weather concerns through the forecast
period. Storm chances remain low through Thursday, favoring area
mountains, as moisture levels hold near normal. Prevailing winds
will be light through tomorrow. Moisture and storm chances increase
starting on Friday, resulting in a higher threat of flash flooding
into early next week. Overnight recoveries will be very good
through the weekend. Temperatures will be near normal for the rest
of the week, then below average.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-281230-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
1148 AM MDT Wed Aug 27 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....52-57.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....64-69 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66 percent.
* 24 hr trend......25 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the
north after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....74-79.
* Below 7500 ft....80-89.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....25-30 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (75300 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....53-58.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....65-70 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....62-67 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....75-80.
* Below 7500 ft....81-90.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....32-37 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL increasing to 10900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (91800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 81 to 86. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with showers with thunderstorms likely.
Lows 56 to 61. Highs 77 to 82. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.LABOR DAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 54 to 59. Highs 72 to 77. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-281230-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
1148 AM MDT Wed Aug 27 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........57-62 percent.
* 24 hr trend......28 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........22-27 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 5 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL increasing to 11300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (70800 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* Max humidity........59-64 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* Min humidity........23-28 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 12600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (99400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs near 90. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 84 to 89. East
winds around 5 mph.
.LABOR DAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 78 to 83. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ112-281230-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
1148 AM MDT Wed Aug 27 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....65-69.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........66-71 percent.
* 24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........23-28 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (46500 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....67-71.
* Max humidity........57-62 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* Min humidity........24-29 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL increasing to 12500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (84500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 88 to 93. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Highs 82 to 87. East winds around
5 mph.
.LABOR DAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower to mid 60s. Highs 76 to 81. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-281230-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
1148 AM MDT Wed Aug 27 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....51-56.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....86-91 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....75-85 percent.
* 24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....72-79.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....45-50 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....31-36 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL increasing to 9800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (72100 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....52-57.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....77-82 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....74-79 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....72-79.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....47-52 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....39-44 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL increasing to 9200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (67600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 57 to 62. Highs 76 to 81. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows 54 to 59. Highs
70 to 75. East winds around 5 mph.
.LABOR DAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
53 to 58. Highs 67 to 72. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-281230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
1148 AM MDT Wed Aug 27 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....70-72.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........62-67 percent.
* 24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 3 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....92-96.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........23-25 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 3 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (46600 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....72-74.
* Max humidity........53-58 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 5 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....94-98.
* Min humidity........23-25 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 5 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL increasing to 13200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (66100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs in the mid to upper 80s. East
winds around 5 mph.
.LABOR DAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid to upper 60s. Highs in the lower to mid 80s. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-281230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
1148 AM MDT Wed Aug 27 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....65-69.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........75-80 percent.
* 24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........28-33 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 5 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (39000 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-71.
* Max humidity........65-70 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 5 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* Min humidity........27-32 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 3 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (55900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 88 to 93.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 68. Highs 80 to 85. East winds around 5 mph.
.LABOR DAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 78 to 83. East
winds around 5 mph.
$$
Aronson