Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
355
FNUS54 KEPZ 181258
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
558 AM MST Tue Nov 18 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns will be low through the forecast period. For
today, winds will be light to modestly breezy. An upper low pulls
moisture northward tonight through Wednesday with scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms. Enough cold air accompanies
the disturbance to give high elevations a chance of snow. Winds
increase a bit Thursday, shifting westerly. Drier conditions are
forecast late week. Seasonal temperatures through Wednesday, then
cooling off.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-182100-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
558 AM MST Tue Nov 18 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 1100,
then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....48-53.
* Below 7500 ft....54-61.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....43-48 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....39-44 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4200-6000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (103000 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the evening, then chance
of rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....34-38.
* Below 7500 ft....40-45.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....92-97 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....92-97 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the morning. Slight chance of
thunderstorms through the day. Rain showers
likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....46-51.
* Below 7500 ft....51-58.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....60-65 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400-6300 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (116800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Showers with possible snow showers. Lows 35 to 40.
Highs 43 to 48. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 25 to 30. Highs 48 to 53. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 28 to 33. Highs 52 to 57.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-182100-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
558 AM MST Tue Nov 18 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 1100,
then mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
* Max temperature.....64-69.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........32-37 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 26 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL increasing to 6800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (99900 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the evening, then chance
of rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....47-51.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........85-90 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 28 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers through the day. Chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....61-66.
* Min humidity........48-53 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 26 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL increasing to 6300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (115600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the 40s. Highs 54 to 59. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 30s. Highs in
the mid 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 30s. Highs
60 to 65. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-182100-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
558 AM MST Tue Nov 18 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Max temperature.....65-70.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........30-35 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL increasing to 6400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (81700 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers.
* Min temperature.....47-51.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........84-89 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 30 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers through the day. Slight chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....62-67.
* Min humidity........47-52 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 31 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......3800-5300 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (70200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid to upper 40s. Highs 55 to 60. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 30s. Highs 55 to 60.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 33 to 38. Highs 60 to 65.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-182100-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
558 AM MST Tue Nov 18 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....51-56.
* Below 7500 ft....57-64.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....40-45 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....29-39 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL increasing to 6300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (95500 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....34-39.
* Below 7500 ft....41-46.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....91-96 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....80-89 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 26 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....46-53.
* Below 7500 ft....54-61.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....60-75 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....48-63 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 36 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL increasing to 6300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (102300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Showers with possible snow showers. Lows 37 to 42.
Highs 47 to 52. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 28 to 33. Highs 49 to 54. West winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 29 to 34. Highs 54 to 59.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-182100-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
558 AM MST Tue Nov 18 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1100, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Max temperature.....70-75.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........26-31 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL increasing to 6700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (65800 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the evening. Chance of
rain showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....52-54.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........79-84 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 30 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the morning, then chance
of rain showers in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....65-69.
* Min humidity........43-48 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 30 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......3300-4200 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (25100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows near 50. Highs near 60. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs near 60. West winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 40. Highs in the mid to upper
60s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-182100-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
558 AM MST Tue Nov 18 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent) until 1100, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....70-75.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........23-28 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL increasing to 7400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (86900 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....48-52.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........80-85 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 32 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....66-71.
* Min humidity........39-44 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 31 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......3400-4900 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (32800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Highs 60 to 65.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 30s. Highs 58 to 63.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 35 to 40. Highs 64 to 69. East
winds around 5 mph.
$$
Aronson