Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
621
FNUS54 KEPZ 031800
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1200 PM MDT Fri Oct 3 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Elevated fire danger tomorrow due to breezy conditions (20 foot
winds 10-17 mph) combined with min RHs of 18-24% across the
lowlands. Very similar RHs expected Sunday afternoon with
calmer winds of 5-10 mph with areas east of the Black Range
seeing winds as high as 15 mph. RHs will be 20-30% in the lowlands
and 40-50% in the mountains with continued dry conditions and
light afternoon breezes. Rain chances return as soon as Tuesday.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-041230-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
1200 PM MDT Fri Oct 3 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....47-51.
* Below 7500 ft....52-57.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....62-67 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....60-65 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....66-71.
* Below 7500 ft....76-81.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....23-28 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....20-25 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 26 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL increasing to 9500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (219400 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....39-44.
* Below 7500 ft....46-51.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....58-63 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....55-60 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph decreasing to
around 5 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....65-70.
* Below 7500 ft....74-79.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....17-22 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....17-21 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 8800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (139100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 45 to 50. Highs 73 to 78. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 72 to 77. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 71 to 76. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ111-041230-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
1200 PM MDT Fri Oct 3 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the evening.
* Min temperature.....58-62.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........56-61 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....83-88.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........19-24 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds around 10 mph
increasing to southwest around 20 mph in the
afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL increasing to 10600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (207900 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....53-57.
* Max humidity........54-59 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....81-86.
* Min humidity........18-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (130900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs 82 to
87. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs in the 80s. East winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs in the lower to mid 80s. East
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ112-041230-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
1200 PM MDT Fri Oct 3 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....56-60.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........57-62 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....83-88.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........23-27 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL increasing to 10600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (196600 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....55-60.
* Max humidity........51-56 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph decreasing to
around 5 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....81-86.
* Min humidity........19-24 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 10300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (147000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs
83 to 88. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 80 to 85. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 78 to 83. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
$$
NMZ113-041230-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
1200 PM MDT Fri Oct 3 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....43-48.
* Below 7500 ft....49-54.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....69-74 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....63-68 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....65-70.
* Below 7500 ft....74-79.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....39-44 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL increasing to 9800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (168800 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....44-49.
* Below 7500 ft....49-54.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....62-67 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....65-70.
* Below 7500 ft....74-79.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....32-37 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....22-27 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL increasing to 9900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (158300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 53. Highs 71 to 76. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 67 to 72. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 48 to 53. Highs 66 to 71. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-041230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
1200 PM MDT Fri Oct 3 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....62-64.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........53-58 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....86-90.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........23-25 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL increasing to 11000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (130800 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....63-65.
* Max humidity........52-57 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....84-88.
* Min humidity........23-25 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 10600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (99200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs in
the mid 80s to lower 90s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs in
the 80s. East winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs in the lower
to mid 80s. East winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-041230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
1200 PM MDT Fri Oct 3 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....55-60.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........69-74 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....83-88.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........24-28 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL increasing to 10200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (122300 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....58-62.
* Max humidity........60-65 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....83-88.
* Min humidity........25-29 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (94100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 60. Highs 83 to 88. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 80 to 85. East
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 78 to 83. East winds around
10 mph.
$$