Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
601
FNUS54 KEPZ 202038
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
238 PM MDT Sun Sep 20 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Little in the way of fire concerns for the week ahead. A bit
drier today and Monday (lower humidity), with just a very slight
chance of a mountain thunderstorm each afternoon. Moisture increasing
rapidly on Tuesday will bring thunderstorms, heavy rain, and flash
flood potential to all fire zones, and lasting through Thursday.
Thunderstorms to become isolated Friday into the weekend.
Temperatures at or below normal into next weekend.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-211200-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
238 PM MDT Sun Sep 20 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-53.
* Below 7500 ft....53-58.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....53-58 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....54-59 percent.
* 24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the
north after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....70-74.
* Below 7500 ft....80-85.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....24-28 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....20-25 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (78800 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....51-55.
* Below 7500 ft....54-59.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....57-62 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....60-65 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
east after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the morning, then showers and
thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....65-70.
* Below 7500 ft....74-79.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....42-47 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....38-43 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL increasing to 7900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (98200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 58.
Highs 68 to 73. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
51 to 56. Highs 67 to 72. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 56. Highs 69 to 74. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-211200-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
238 PM MDT Sun Sep 20 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....59-64.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........45-50 percent.
* 24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1100, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....89-93.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........16-20 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (64700 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* Max humidity........49-54 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
east after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the morning, then showers and
thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....82-86.
* Min humidity........31-35 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL increasing to 8500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (108600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower to mid 60s. Highs 77 to 82. East winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 60. Highs near 80. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-211200-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
238 PM MDT Sun Sep 20 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....60-65.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........45-50 percent.
* 24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........15-17 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL increasing to 11800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (61200 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
* Min temperature.....62-66.
* Max humidity........64-69 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the morning, then showers and
thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....81-86.
* Min humidity........35-40 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 8300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (98000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower to mid 60s. Highs 73 to 78. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows near
60. Highs 73 to 78. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows near
60. Highs 75 to 80. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-211200-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
238 PM MDT Sun Sep 20 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....52-57 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....43-48 percent.
* 24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1100, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....70-75.
* Below 7500 ft....79-84.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....24-29 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....19-23 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 11000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (79500 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....55-60.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....89-94 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....86-91 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the morning, then showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....64-69.
* Below 7500 ft....71-76.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....55-60 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....46-51 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
* Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL increasing to 6700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (66600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 58.
Highs 64 to 69. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 56.
Highs 65 to 70. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 51 to
56. Highs 68 to 73. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-211200-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
238 PM MDT Sun Sep 20 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....62-66.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........48-53 percent.
* 24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....90-94.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........16-18 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (56500 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....Around 70.
* Max humidity........64-69 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph increasing to
east around 15 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance
of showers in the morning, then showers and
thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....84-88.
* Min humidity........33-37 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL increasing to 8900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (107800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
to upper 60s. Highs near 80. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower to mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower to mid 60s. Highs near 80. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-211200-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
238 PM MDT Sun Sep 20 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........51-56 percent.
* 24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........16-18 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 12300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (57700 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
* Min temperature.....63-68.
* Max humidity........80-85 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the morning, then chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....83-88.
* Min humidity........35-40 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL increasing to 8600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (104000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 66.
Highs 78 to 83. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63.
Highs 76 to 81. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 59 to
64. Highs 78 to 83. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
DH