Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
232
FNUS54 KEPZ 161931
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
131 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Continued chances of afternoon and evening thunderstorms today
for most of the area and mainly the mountains on Monday.
Min RHs for Monday will be at or above 20% for the entire region.
Gila National Forest will be the most at risk for flooding on
Monday. Outside of thunderstorm ouflows, the winds will be relatively
light and below critical levels for this week. Dry air will return
to the area starting on Tuesday as a new high pressure system returns.
Ventilation rates will range from good to very good on Monday.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-171145-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
131 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....54-58.
* Below 7500 ft....60-65.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....71-76 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....68-73 percent.
* 24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Rain showers
and thunderstorms likely after 1100.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....73-78.
* Below 7500 ft....83-88.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....37-42 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....32-37 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 9100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (67100 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....53-57.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....72-77 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....66-71 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....74-79.
* Below 7500 ft....84-89.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....31-36 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....25-30 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (73400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 64. Highs 84 to 89. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 65. Highs 86 to 91. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 65. Highs 86 to 91. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-171145-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
131 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the evening.
* Min temperature.....67-71.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........61-66 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1100, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....90-94.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........23-27 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (91400 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* Max humidity........58-63 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* Min humidity........18-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (101000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 94 to 99.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 96 to 101. West winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 96 to 101. East winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-171145-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
131 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........63-68 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........24-28 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 10900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (86900 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* Max humidity........56-61 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* Min humidity........17-21 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (72600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 95 to 100. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 102. East winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 96 to 101. East winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-171145-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
131 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....50-55.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....84-89 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....75-80 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....71-76.
* Below 7500 ft....82-87.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....43-48 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 9500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (82000 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....50-55.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....75-80 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....74-79.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....33-38 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....21-26 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (78200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 86 to 91. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 86 to 91. East winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
59 to 64. Highs 85 to 90. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-171145-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
131 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....71-73.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........58-63 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....91-95.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........23-27 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL increasing to 10900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (97300 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....71-73.
* Max humidity........52-57 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....93-97.
* Min humidity........17-19 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL increasing to 11900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (81900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs 96 to 100. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs
99 to 103. South winds 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs 98 to 102. East winds
around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-171145-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
131 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....66-71.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........65-70 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........24-28 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (100100 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....66-71.
* Max humidity........58-63 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* Min humidity........15-19 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (89900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 66 to 71. Highs 94 to 99. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 68 to 73. Highs 96 to 101.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 73. Highs 95 to 100. East winds around
5 mph.
$$