Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
485
FNUS54 KEPZ 161227
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
627 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns will be low through the forecast with daily
storm chances persisting. Winds remain light to modestly breezy
outside of outflow boundaries. Storm chances are favored over
western areas this afternoon with potential for locally heavy
rainfall. Better storm chances across the area Thursday and Friday,
starting in eastern areas and shifting to the west late in the
week. Temperatures remain near normal for mid July.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-162130-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
627 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....76-81.
* Below 7500 ft....82-90.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....29-34 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL increasing to 12100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (92100 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of rain showers after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....51-56.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....74-79 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....70-75 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the morning, then rain
showers with thunderstorms likely in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....75-80.
* Below 7500 ft....81-89.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....31-36 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...70 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 10100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (92700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows
57 to 62. Highs 82 to 87. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms. Lows
58 to 63. Highs 81 to 86. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
58 to 63. Highs 82 to 87. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-162130-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
627 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........26-31 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (133200 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....65-69.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........68-73 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* Min humidity........24-29 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 11000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (84700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 91 to 96.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 91 to 96.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 91 to 96. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-162130-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
627 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....93-98.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........18-22 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 12700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (109800 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........58-63 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* Min humidity........23-28 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 11300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (93800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 90 to 95. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 91 to 96. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
near 70. Highs 92 to 97. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-162130-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
627 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....75-80.
* Below 7500 ft....81-90.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....33-38 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....24-29 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......9800 ft AGL increasing to 12500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (85700 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....52-57.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....71-76 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....68-73 percent.
* 24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
west after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....73-78.
* Below 7500 ft....80-87.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....46-51 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....36-41 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL increasing to 9100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (78900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 57 to 62. Highs 79 to 84. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 80 to 85. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
59 to 64. Highs 82 to 87. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-162130-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
627 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....94-98.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........20-22 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 12500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (101700 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....72-74.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........59-64 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....92-96.
* Min humidity........24-26 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 11300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (74400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the lower to mid 90s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the 90s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the mid to
upper 90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-162130-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
627 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........21-25 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 12300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (80200 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....68-73.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........65-70 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* Min humidity........29-34 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (58200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 89 to 94. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 90 to 95. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 91 to 96. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
Aronson