Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
646
FNUS54 KEPZ 161046
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
446 AM MDT Mon Jun 16 2025
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TUESDAY NIGHT...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
.DISCUSSION...
Very dry and very hot conditions are expected today with most
lowland locations well above 100. Min RH values will drop into the
single digits. A stray shower or thunderstorm cannot entirely be
ruled out for the Sacramento Mountains or Hudspeth County with
gusty outflow winds the main hazard. Otherwise winds will top out
10 to 15 MPH in the afternoon. Tuesday will see an increase in
winds with near critical to critical fire weather concerns.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-161930-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
446 AM MDT Mon Jun 16 2025
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TUESDAY NIGHT...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Areas of smoke
until 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....85-90.
* Below 7500 ft....95-100.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....7-9 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....6-8 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph increasing to
west around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......14800 ft AGL increasing to 17300 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (228300 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....56-61.
* Below 7500 ft....62-67.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....18-22 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....16-21 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....82-87.
* Below 7500 ft....91-96.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....6-8 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....5-7 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......10700 ft AGL increasing to 14600 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (355100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 90 to 95. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 90 to 95. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 89 to 94. South
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ111-161930-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
446 AM MDT Mon Jun 16 2025
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TUESDAY NIGHT...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....101-106.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........5-7 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......9100 ft AGL increasing to 17600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (206800 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....68-73.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........14-19 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....98-103.
* Min humidity........5-7 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 10 mph increasing
to around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......9000 ft AGL increasing to 15700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (370500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 64 to 69. Highs 97 to 101. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs
99 to 103. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 98 to 102. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ112-161930-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
446 AM MDT Mon Jun 16 2025
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TUESDAY NIGHT...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....100-105.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........5-9 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL increasing to 17900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (167100 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....69-74.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........17-22 percent.
* 24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....100-105.
* Min humidity........4-6 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 10 mph increasing
to around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......10800 ft AGL increasing to 18300 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (417600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 66 to 71. Highs 97 to 102. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 67 to 72. Highs 97 to 102. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 67 to 72. Highs 95 to 100. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ113-161930-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
446 AM MDT Mon Jun 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....83-88.
* Below 7500 ft....92-97.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....11-15 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....9-14 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......11400 ft AGL increasing to 17500 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (183900 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....58-63.
* Below 7500 ft....64-69.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....24-29 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....20-25 percent.
* 24 hr trend......28 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....82-87.
* Below 7500 ft....92-97.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....8-10 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....6-8 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......11800 ft AGL increasing to 17500 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (433300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 85 to 90. Northeast
winds around 10 mph.
.JUNETEENTH...Mostly clear. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 85 to 90.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 85 to 90. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-161930-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
446 AM MDT Mon Jun 16 2025
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TUESDAY NIGHT...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....102-106.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........6-8 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 17300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (103900 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....73-77.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........20-25 percent.
* 24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....102-106.
* Min humidity........7-12 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......9200 ft AGL increasing to 18000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (374600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 99 to
103. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs 98 to 102. East
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 96 to 100.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-161930-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
446 AM MDT Mon Jun 16 2025
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TUESDAY NIGHT...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-104.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........9-13 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 16700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (113600 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....70-74.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........31-36 percent.
* 24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....100-105.
* Min humidity........7-9 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8700 ft AGL increasing to 19000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (345300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 96 to 101. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 94 to 99. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 66 to 71. Highs 92 to 97. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
$$