Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
783
FNUS54 KEPZ 301755
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1155 AM MDT Sat Aug 30 2025
.DISCUSSION...
There will be no fire weather concerns through the forecast
period. Storm chances will be medium-high through Sunday for much
of the area with potential for heavy rainfall and flash flooding.
Moisture levels and storm chances lower on Monday, continuing
through midweek, favoring the higher terrain. Prevailing winds
outside of outflows will be light from the east. Temperatures will
be near or a bit below normal.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-311230-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
1155 AM MDT Sat Aug 30 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....52-57.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....67-72 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....70-75 percent.
* 24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Numerous
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....72-79.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....39-44 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....36-41 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...70 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......7300-9000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (62300 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of rain
showers through the night.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....50-55.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....83-88 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....82-87 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.LABOR DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the morning, then chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....71-76.
* Below 7500 ft....77-84.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....36-41 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....35-40 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (89300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 54 to 59. Highs 76 to 81. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 58. Highs 78 to 83. South winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 54 to 59. Highs 78 to 83. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-311230-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
1155 AM MDT Sat Aug 30 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....65-69.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........69-74 percent.
* 24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms until 1200.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms
after 1200.
* Max temperature.....86-91.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........34-39 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 9000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (87800 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
evening, then chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* Max humidity........77-82 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.LABOR DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers through the day. Chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....83-88.
* Min humidity........33-38 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 8700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (112700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 84 to 89. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs
85 to 90. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 86 to 91. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-311230-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
1155 AM MDT Sat Aug 30 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........81-86 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....83-88.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........40-45 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (63600 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of rain
showers through the night. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....62-66.
* Max humidity........83-88 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.LABOR DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the morning, then chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....82-87.
* Min humidity........32-37 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 9300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (85600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 84 to 89.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs
85 to 90. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 86 to 91.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-311230-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
1155 AM MDT Sat Aug 30 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....48-53.
* Below 7500 ft....54-61.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....94-99 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....92-97 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 1200,
then partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....64-69.
* Below 7500 ft....70-78.
* 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....62-87 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....54-69 percent.
* 24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 6400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (49700 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of rain
showers through the night. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....46-51.
* Below 7500 ft....52-59.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....93-98 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.LABOR DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the morning, then chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....65-70.
* Below 7500 ft....71-79.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....56-71 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....42-57 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL increasing to 8300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (64100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 52 to 57. Highs 75 to 80. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 52 to 57. Highs 75 to 80. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 52 to 57. Highs 75 to 80. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-311230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
1155 AM MDT Sat Aug 30 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....Around 70.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........75-80 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 5 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 1200,
then partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....85-89.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........39-43 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 7800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (84300 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....67-69.
* Max humidity........77-82 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.LABOR DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers through the day. Chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....84-88.
* Min humidity........34-38 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 8700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (91200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs in the mid to
upper 80s. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs
near 90. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs near 90. South winds
around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-311230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
1155 AM MDT Sat Aug 30 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....63-68.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........91-96 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
showers and thunderstorms likely.
* Max temperature.....80-85.
* 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........51-56 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL increasing to 6600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (70500 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....61-66.
* Max humidity........92-97 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.LABOR DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers through the day. Chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....79-84.
* Min humidity........44-49 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 7900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (78500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 82 to 87. East winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 60. Highs 84 to 89.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 84 to 89.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
Aronson