Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
298
FNUS54 KEPZ 112109
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
309 PM MDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Continued unseasonably moist with scattered showers and thunderstorms
persisting into Monday. Some heavy rainfall is possible, leading
to local flooding. Some showers could persist on Tuesday but mainly
east of the Rio Grande Valley. Drier air moves in Wednesday and
beyond with seasonable temperatures.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-121530-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
309 PM MDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered
thunderstorms in the evening. Scattered rain
showers through the night. Scattered
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....47-51.
* Below 7500 ft....53-58.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....95-100 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....95-100 percent.
* 24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....60-65.
* Below 7500 ft....67-72.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....55-60 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......3800-5100 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (50600 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....46-50.
* Below 7500 ft....51-56.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....95-100 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....96-100 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.COLUMBUS DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance
of thunderstorms in the morning. Rain showers
likely through the day. Chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....58-63.
* Below 7500 ft....64-69.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....63-68 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....64-69 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......3700-4700 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (65800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 49 to 54. Highs 67 to 72. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 55. Highs 70 to 75. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 44 to 49. Highs 65 to 70. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ111-121530-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
309 PM MDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then numerous showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....60-64.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........95-100 percent.
* 24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous
showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....69-74.
* 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........67-72 percent.
* 24 hr trend......31 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
* Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (27500 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Rain showers
likely through the night. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....57-61.
* Max humidity........95-100 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
.COLUMBUS DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance
of thunderstorms in the morning. Rain showers
likely through the day. Chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....68-73.
* Min humidity........64-69 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......3900-4800 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (55300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs 74 to 79.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs 78 to 83.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 50s. Highs 74 to 79.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-121530-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
309 PM MDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....59-63.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........95-100 percent.
* 24 hr trend......28 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
numerous showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....71-76.
* 24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........61-66 percent.
* 24 hr trend......39 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......3400-4400 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (46000 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
likely in the evening. Slight chance of
thunderstorms through the night. Chance of
rain showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....56-60.
* Max humidity........97-100 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.COLUMBUS DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Rain showers
likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the morning, then chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....70-75.
* Min humidity........60-65 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......3600-4900 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (50600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs 76 to 81. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs 78 to 83. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs 77 to 82.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ113-121530-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
309 PM MDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance
of thunderstorms in the evening. Scattered
rain showers through the night. Scattered
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....47-52.
* Below 7500 ft....53-57.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....95-100 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....95-100 percent.
* 24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 1200,
then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....57-62.
* Below 7500 ft....67-72.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....76-81 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......3700-4900 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (63500 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....43-48.
* Below 7500 ft....50-55.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....95-100 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....96-100 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.COLUMBUS DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the morning. Slight chance of
thunderstorms through the day. Rain showers
likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....56-61.
* Below 7500 ft....62-67.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....79-84 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......3500-4400 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (39500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 53. Highs 67 to 72. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 69 to 74. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 69 to 74.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-121530-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
309 PM MDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....64-66.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........94-99 percent.
* 24 hr trend......36 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous
showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....70-74.
* 24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........71-76 percent.
* 24 hr trend......46 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
* Mixing height.......2800-3200 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (24400 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers in the
evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the night. Rain showers likely after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....61-63.
* Max humidity........96-100 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
.COLUMBUS DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
showers through the day. Chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....74-78.
* Min humidity........59-64 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......3500-5300 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (37600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs near 80. East winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower to mid
80s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower to mid 80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-121530-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
309 PM MDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
cloudy (85-95 percent). Isolated showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then scattered
showers and thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....60-64.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........96-100 percent.
* 24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
numerous showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....71-76.
* 24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........67-72 percent.
* 24 hr trend......46 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
* Mixing height.......3500-4400 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (35200 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the
evening, then chance of rain showers after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....58-63.
* Max humidity........98-100 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
.COLUMBUS DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers through the day. Chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....75-80.
* Min humidity........58-63 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......3600-5500 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (39600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 62. Highs 78 to 83. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55 to 60. Highs 79 to 84.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs
79 to 84. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
DH